Scottish Premiership trends
Results that have already happened: each page lists what it counts, and every figure shows how many matches it's based on.
Scottish Premiership · 2026–27
31 Jul 2026 to 18 Oct 2026 · 54 matches · last season 228
What's counted
- League matches only: cups, play-offs and friendlies are left out.
- Favourites are judged on the closing average price across bookmakers.
- Numbers resting on fewer than 10 matches aren't shown.
Unusual lately
- Second-half goals per match (half-time): 1.11 over the last 6 rounds (36 matches) vs 1.53 in 2025–26
- Corners per match (corners): 12.0 over the last 6 rounds (36 matches) vs 10.0 in 2025–26
- Shots per match (shots and xg): 28.7 over the last 6 rounds (36 matches) vs 25.3 in 2025–26
- Shots on target per match (shots and xg): 10.1 over the last 6 rounds (36 matches) vs 8.7 in 2025–26
Goals
| 2026–27 so far | Last 6 rounds | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals per match | 2.7654 matches | 2.7536 matches | 2.78228 matches |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76%54 matches | 75%36 matches | 78%228 matches |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56%54 matches | 56%36 matches | 53%228 matches |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24%54 matches | 25%36 matches | 33%228 matches |
| Over 4.5 goals | 11%54 matches | 11%36 matches | 13%228 matches |
| Both teams scored | 56%54 matches | 58%36 matches | 52%228 matches |
| Goalless (0-0) | 4%54 matches | 3%36 matches | 7%228 matches |
| Home team goals | 1.4354 matches | 1.5036 matches | 1.59228 matches |
| Away team goals | 1.3354 matches | 1.2536 matches | 1.19228 matches |
Results
| 2026–27 so far | Last 6 rounds | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home wins | 41%54 matches | 39%36 matches | 45%228 matches |
| Draws | 20%54 matches | 25%36 matches | 27%228 matches |
| Away wins | 39%54 matches | 36%36 matches | 29%228 matches |
| Decided by one goal | 50%54 matches | 47%36 matches | 34%228 matches |
| Won by two or more | 30%54 matches | 28%36 matches | 39%228 matches |
| Winner kept a clean sheet | 51%43 matches | 52%27 matches | 56%167 matches |
Favourites
favourite = shorter of the home and away closing prices (average across bookmakers)
| 2026–27 so far | Last 6 rounds | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite won | 44%54 matches | 42%36 matches | 52%228 matches |
| Favourite drew | 20%54 matches | 25%36 matches | 27%228 matches |
| Favourite lost | 35%54 matches | 33%36 matches | 21%228 matches |
| Strong favourite (1.60 or shorter) won | 81%16 matches | 83%12 matches | 75%71 matches |
| Home favourite won | 46%35 matches | 44%23 matches | 56%143 matches |
| Away favourite won | 42%19 matches | 39%13 matches | 46%85 matches |
| Favourite won by two or more | 17%54 matches | 19%36 matches | 30%228 matches |
| Average favourite price | 1.8554 matches | 1.8436 matches | 1.83228 matches |
Half-time
| 2026–27 so far | Last 6 rounds | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Level at half-time | 28%54 matches | 28%36 matches | 35%228 matches |
| A goal before half-time | 83%54 matches | 86%36 matches | 76%228 matches |
| Half-time leader went on to win | 74%39 matches | 69%26 matches | 74%148 matches |
| First-half goals per match | 1.5054 matches | 1.6436 matches | 1.25228 matches |
| Second-half goals per matchunusually low | 1.2654 matches | 1.1136 matches | 1.53228 matches |
| More goals after half-time than before | 35%54 matches | 31%36 matches | 40%228 matches |
| A goal in both halves | 63%54 matches | 56%36 matches | 63%228 matches |
| Half-time leader failed to win | 26%39 matches | 31%26 matches | 26%148 matches |
Corners
| 2026–27 so far | Last 6 rounds | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners per matchunusually high | 11.454 matches | 12.036 matches | 10.0228 matches |
| Over 8.5 corners | 80%54 matches | 81%36 matches | 70%228 matches |
| Over 9.5 corners | 65%54 matches | 69%36 matches | 58%228 matches |
| Over 10.5 corners | 59%54 matches | 64%36 matches | 46%228 matches |
| Home team corners | 6.354 matches | 6.536 matches | 5.4228 matches |
| Away team corners | 5.254 matches | 5.536 matches | 4.6228 matches |
| Side with more corners won | 69%39 matches | 65%26 matches | 57%155 matches |
Cards
yellow and red cards as recorded per match
| 2026–27 so far | Last 6 rounds | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards per match | 3.754 matches | 3.636 matches | 4.1228 matches |
| Over 3.5 cards | 59%54 matches | 58%36 matches | 58%228 matches |
| Over 4.5 cards | 28%54 matches | 28%36 matches | 39%228 matches |
| Over 5.5 cards | 17%54 matches | 14%36 matches | 24%228 matches |
| Home team cards | 1.854 matches | 1.936 matches | 1.9228 matches |
| Away team cards | 1.954 matches | 1.836 matches | 2.2228 matches |
| A red card shown | 15%54 matches | 19%36 matches | 15%228 matches |
Shots and xG
| 2026–27 so far | Last 6 rounds | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots per matchunusually high | 28.954 matches | 28.736 matches | 25.3228 matches |
| Shots on target per matchunusually high | 9.854 matches | 10.136 matches | 8.7228 matches |
| Side with more shots won | 72%43 matches | 70%27 matches | 75%158 matches |
| xG per match | 3.0654 matches | 2.9736 matches | – |
| Goals minus xG per match | -0.3054 matches | -0.2236 matches | – |
Most common scores
either side winning (2-1 includes 1-2) · of 54 matches
| Times | Share | Home won | Away won | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | 14 | 26% | 7 | 7 |
| 1-0 | 11 | 20% | 5 | 6 |
| 1-1 draw | 7 | 13% | – | – |
| 2-0 | 4 | 7% | 1 | 3 |
| 3-0 | 3 | 6% | 2 | 1 |
| 3-1 | 3 | 6% | 2 | 1 |
| 4-0 | 3 | 6% | 1 | 2 |
| 0-0 draw | 2 | 4% | – | – |
Biggest wins
largest winning margins this season
| Date | Score | Margin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic v Heart of Midlothian | 18 Oct | 7-1 | 6 |
| Heart of Midlothian v St Mirren | 10 Oct | 5-0 | 5 |
| Kilmarnock v Celtic | 9 Aug | 1-5 | 4 |
| Motherwell v Aberdeen | 15 Sept | 0-4 | 4 |
| Kilmarnock v Dundee United | 29 Aug | 0-4 | 4 |
| Heart of Midlothian v Dundee United | 9 Aug | 4-0 | 4 |
Most goals in a match
this season
| Date | Score | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic v Heart of Midlothian | 18 Oct | 7-1 | 8 |
| St Johnstone v Kilmarnock | 2 Aug | 4-3 | 7 |
| St Mirren v Motherwell | 30 Aug | 3-3 | 6 |
| Kilmarnock v Celtic | 9 Aug | 1-5 | 6 |
| Kilmarnock v Motherwell | 17 Oct | 3-2 | 5 |
| Heart of Midlothian v St Mirren | 10 Oct | 5-0 | 5 |
Favourites: prices vs what happened
closing average price of the favourite · implied chance has the bookmaker margin removed · a band needs 10+ matches
| Matches | Prices implied | Actually won | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.40 or shorter | 11 | 73% | 73% | 0 pts |
| 1.41 to 1.70 | 10 | 60% | 60% | 0 pts |
| 1.71 to 2.10 | 15 | 50% | 33% | -17 pts |
| Longer than 2.10 | 18 | 40% | 28% | -13 pts |
Streaks right now
runs in the matches counted above, 4 or more
- 9Heart of MidlothianScored in 9 straight
- 9HibernianConceded in 9 straight
- 9RangersScored in 9 straight
- 8DundeeScored in 8 straight
- 7FalkirkBoth teams scored in 7 straight
- 7RangersUnbeaten in 7 straight
- 6DundeeBoth teams scored in 6 straight
- 6HibernianWithout a win in 6 straight
- 5MotherwellLost in 5 straight
- 5MotherwellConceded in 5 straight
- 5St MirrenLost in 5 straight
- 5St MirrenConceded in 5 straight
- 4DundeeOver 2.5 goals in 4 straight
- 4Dundee UnitedUnbeaten in 4 straight
- 4Dundee UnitedScored in 4 straight
- 4KilmarnockScored in 4 straight
- 4St JohnstoneUnder 2.5 goals in 4 straight
Team by team
2026–27 · the matches counted above · tap a column to sort · per-match averages
| Home | Away | Last 5 | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic | 9 | 8-0-1 | 2.56 | 0.56 | 56% | 44% | 44% | 11% | 9.0 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 2.94 | 0.94 | 4-0-1 | 4-0-0 | WWLWW |
| Rangers | 9 | 6-2-1 | 1.44 | 0.78 | 44% | 56% | 44% | 0% | 7.2 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 1.94 | 1.10 | 3-0-1 | 3-2-0 | DWWWW |
| Heart of Midlothian | 9 | 5-1-3 | 2.22 | 1.67 | 89% | 78% | 22% | 0% | 6.9 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 1.83 | 1.52 | 4-0-0 | 1-1-3 | LWDLW |
| Dundee | 9 | 4-2-3 | 1.44 | 1.11 | 56% | 67% | 22% | 11% | 4.9 | 6.8 | 1.4 | 1.35 | 1.64 | 2-2-1 | 2-0-2 | DWWLD |
| Dundee United | 9 | 3-3-3 | 1.22 | 1.33 | 44% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 6.3 | 5.7 | 2.7 | 1.52 | 1.35 | 1-2-1 | 2-1-2 | DWWDL |
| St Johnstone | 9 | 3-3-3 | 1.22 | 1.22 | 33% | 67% | 11% | 22% | 3.3 | 7.1 | 1.4 | 1.27 | 1.45 | 2-2-1 | 1-1-2 | DWDLW |
| Aberdeen | 9 | 3-2-4 | 1.11 | 1.11 | 44% | 33% | 22% | 56% | 5.7 | 6.4 | 2.8 | 1.17 | 1.51 | 2-1-2 | 1-1-2 | WLDWD |
| St Mirren | 9 | 3-1-5 | 1.00 | 1.89 | 56% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 4.4 | 6.7 | 2.4 | 1.31 | 1.86 | 1-1-2 | 2-0-3 | LLLLL |
| Falkirk | 9 | 2-3-4 | 1.00 | 1.33 | 56% | 78% | 11% | 22% | 4.3 | 6.4 | 1.9 | 1.01 | 1.60 | 1-0-3 | 1-3-1 | WLDWD |
| Kilmarnock | 9 | 2-2-5 | 1.11 | 2.22 | 56% | 56% | 22% | 33% | 4.7 | 6.4 | 2.2 | 0.98 | 2.20 | 1-1-3 | 1-1-2 | WLDWD |
| Motherwell | 9 | 2-2-5 | 1.22 | 1.78 | 67% | 44% | 22% | 44% | 4.9 | 5.9 | 1.3 | 1.45 | 1.72 | 1-1-2 | 1-1-3 | LLLLL |
| Hibernian | 9 | 2-1-6 | 1.00 | 1.56 | 67% | 78% | 0% | 22% | 6.9 | 5.4 | 1.4 | 1.59 | 1.48 | 0-1-4 | 2-0-2 | LLDLL |
What has happened, not a prediction: a run can end at any time. Every number shows how many matches it's based on. “Unusual” means the last 6 rounds (or, with no recent window, this season) differ clearly from the rest of the season or from last season: at least two standard errors, with 20+ matches on each side.