Ligue 1 trends
Results that have already happened: each page lists what it counts, and every figure shows how many matches it's based on.
Ligue 1 · 2026–27
21 Aug 2026 to 18 Oct 2026 · 63 matches · last season 306
What's counted
- League matches only: cups, play-offs and friendlies are left out.
- Favourites are judged on the closing average price across bookmakers.
- Numbers resting on fewer than 10 matches aren't shown.
Unusual lately
- Both teams scored (goals): 69% over the last 6 rounds (54 matches) vs 51% in 2025–26
- Winner kept a clean sheet (results): 35% over the last 6 rounds (43 matches) vs 55% in 2025–26
- Home team corners (corners): 4.5 over the last 6 rounds (54 matches) vs 5.4 in 2025–26
- Side with more corners won (corners): 28% over the last 6 rounds (40 matches) vs 49% in 2025–26
- Away team cards (cards): 1.7 over the last 6 rounds (54 matches) vs 2.2 in 2025–26
- Shots per match (shots and xg): 27.7 over the last 6 rounds (54 matches) vs 24.8 in 2025–26
- Shots on target per match (shots and xg): 9.9 over the last 6 rounds (54 matches) vs 8.6 in 2025–26
Goals
| 2026–27 so far | Last 6 rounds | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals per match | 3.0563 matches | 3.1154 matches | 2.82306 matches |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79%63 matches | 82%54 matches | 73%306 matches |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64%63 matches | 67%54 matches | 53%306 matches |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38%63 matches | 37%54 matches | 33%306 matches |
| Over 4.5 goals | 14%63 matches | 15%54 matches | 17%306 matches |
| Both teams scoredunusually high | 64%63 matches | 69%54 matches | 51%306 matches |
| Goalless (0-0) | 6%63 matches | 4%54 matches | 8%306 matches |
| Home team goals | 1.6363 matches | 1.6754 matches | 1.58306 matches |
| Away team goals | 1.4163 matches | 1.4454 matches | 1.24306 matches |
Results
| 2026–27 so far | Last 6 rounds | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home wins | 44%63 matches | 48%54 matches | 46%306 matches |
| Draws | 24%63 matches | 20%54 matches | 25%306 matches |
| Away wins | 32%63 matches | 32%54 matches | 29%306 matches |
| Decided by one goal | 43%63 matches | 48%54 matches | 39%306 matches |
| Won by two or more | 33%63 matches | 32%54 matches | 37%306 matches |
| Winner kept a clean sheetunusually low | 40%48 matches | 35%43 matches | 55%231 matches |
Favourites
favourite = shorter of the home and away closing prices (average across bookmakers)
| 2026–27 so far | Last 6 rounds | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite won | 54%63 matches | 56%54 matches | 54%306 matches |
| Favourite drew | 24%63 matches | 20%54 matches | 25%306 matches |
| Favourite lost | 22%63 matches | 24%54 matches | 22%306 matches |
| Strong favourite (1.60 or shorter) won | 71%14 matches | 75%12 matches | 71%85 matches |
| Home favourite won | 55%38 matches | 58%33 matches | 57%191 matches |
| Away favourite won | 52%25 matches | 52%21 matches | 48%115 matches |
| Favourite won by two or more | 29%63 matches | 28%54 matches | 28%306 matches |
| Average favourite price | 1.9263 matches | 1.9154 matches | 1.88306 matches |
Half-time
| 2026–27 so far | Last 6 rounds | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Level at half-time | 38%63 matches | 35%54 matches | 40%306 matches |
| A goal before half-time | 71%63 matches | 74%54 matches | 70%306 matches |
| Half-time leader went on to win | 74%39 matches | 74%35 matches | 77%185 matches |
| First-half goals per match | 1.2763 matches | 1.3354 matches | 1.22306 matches |
| Second-half goals per match | 1.7863 matches | 1.7854 matches | 1.60306 matches |
| More goals after half-time than before | 52%63 matches | 56%54 matches | 46%306 matches |
| A goal in both halves | 60%63 matches | 65%54 matches | 56%306 matches |
| Half-time leader failed to win | 26%39 matches | 26%35 matches | 23%185 matches |
Corners
| 2026–27 so far | Last 6 rounds | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners per match | 9.463 matches | 9.354 matches | 9.6306 matches |
| Over 8.5 corners | 62%63 matches | 59%54 matches | 59%306 matches |
| Over 9.5 corners | 49%63 matches | 44%54 matches | 48%306 matches |
| Over 10.5 corners | 35%63 matches | 30%54 matches | 36%306 matches |
| Home team cornersunusually low | 4.663 matches | 4.554 matches | 5.4306 matches |
| Away team corners | 4.963 matches | 4.854 matches | 4.2306 matches |
| Side with more corners wonunusually low | 24%45 matches | 28%40 matches | 49%214 matches |
Cards
yellow and red cards as recorded per match
| 2026–27 so far | Last 6 rounds | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards per match | 3.563 matches | 3.554 matches | 4.0306 matches |
| Over 3.5 cards | 49%63 matches | 50%54 matches | 58%306 matches |
| Over 4.5 cards | 29%63 matches | 32%54 matches | 37%306 matches |
| Over 5.5 cards | 11%63 matches | 13%54 matches | 18%306 matches |
| Home team cards | 1.863 matches | 1.854 matches | 1.8306 matches |
| Away team cardsunusually low | 1.763 matches | 1.754 matches | 2.2306 matches |
| A red card shown | 16%63 matches | 15%54 matches | 23%306 matches |
Shots and xG
| 2026–27 so far | Last 6 rounds | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots per matchunusually high | 27.563 matches | 27.754 matches | 24.8306 matches |
| Shots on target per matchunusually high | 9.663 matches | 9.954 matches | 8.6306 matches |
| Side with more shots won | 49%45 matches | 49%41 matches | 59%224 matches |
| xG per match | 3.2963 matches | 3.3254 matches | – |
| Goals minus xG per match | -0.2463 matches | -0.2054 matches | – |
Most common scores
either side winning (2-1 includes 1-2) · of 63 matches
| Times | Share | Home won | Away won | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | 14 | 22% | 9 | 5 |
| 1-0 | 9 | 14% | 5 | 4 |
| 2-2 draw | 7 | 11% | – | – |
| 2-0 | 6 | 10% | 3 | 3 |
| 3-1 | 6 | 10% | 2 | 4 |
| 0-0 draw | 4 | 6% | – | – |
| 1-1 draw | 4 | 6% | – | – |
| 3-2 | 3 | 5% | 2 | 1 |
Biggest wins
largest winning margins this season
| Date | Score | Margin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Troyes v Strasbourg | 6 Sept | 2-6 | 4 |
| Brest v Angers | 10 Oct | 5-1 | 4 |
| Lyon v Stade Rennais | 19 Sept | 4-0 | 4 |
| Marseille v Strasbourg | 21 Aug | 4-0 | 4 |
| Angers v Marseille | 18 Oct | 2-5 | 3 |
| Lens v AJ Auxerre | 22 Aug | 5-2 | 3 |
Most goals in a match
this season
| Date | Score | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Troyes v Strasbourg | 6 Sept | 2-6 | 8 |
| Paris FC v Stade Rennais | 18 Oct | 4-3 | 7 |
| Angers v Marseille | 18 Oct | 2-5 | 7 |
| Lens v AJ Auxerre | 22 Aug | 5-2 | 7 |
| Brest v Angers | 10 Oct | 5-1 | 6 |
| Stade Rennais v AJ Auxerre | 11 Oct | 4-1 | 5 |
Favourites: prices vs what happened
closing average price of the favourite · implied chance has the bookmaker margin removed · a band needs 10+ matches
| Matches | Prices implied | Actually won | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.40 or shorter | 6 | – | – | – |
| 1.41 to 1.70 | 13 | 62% | 54% | -8 pts |
| 1.71 to 2.10 | 24 | 49% | 71% | +22 pts |
| Longer than 2.10 | 20 | 40% | 25% | -15 pts |
Streaks right now
runs in the matches counted above, 4 or more
- 7AJ AuxerreScored in 7 straight
- 7BrestConceded in 7 straight
- 7Le Havre ACWithout a win in 7 straight
- 7Le MansConceded in 7 straight
- 7LensConceded in 7 straight
- 7LilleScored in 7 straight
- 7Paris Saint-GermainScored in 7 straight
- 7StrasbourgConceded in 7 straight
- 6LorientScored in 6 straight
- 6NiceConceded in 6 straight
- 6StrasbourgBoth teams scored in 6 straight
- 6TroyesConceded in 6 straight
- 5AS MonacoConceded in 5 straight
- 5TroyesLost in 5 straight
- 4Le MansOver 2.5 goals in 4 straight
- 4LensBoth teams scored in 4 straight
- 4LensOver 2.5 goals in 4 straight
- 4Paris Saint-GermainWon in 4 straight
- 4StrasbourgWithout a win in 4 straight
- 4ToulouseUnbeaten in 4 straight
- 4ToulouseScored in 4 straight
- 4ToulouseOver 2.5 goals in 4 straight
Team by team
2026–27 · the matches counted above · tap a column to sort · per-match averages
| Home | Away | Last 5 | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Monaco | 7 | 4-2-1 | 1.43 | 0.86 | 43% | 57% | 29% | 14% | 3.7 | 5.3 | 2.1 | 1.09 | 1.34 | 2-1-0 | 2-1-1 | LDWDW |
| Lille | 7 | 4-2-1 | 1.43 | 0.71 | 29% | 43% | 57% | 0% | 3.3 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 1.47 | 1.56 | 2-2-0 | 2-0-1 | DWLWW |
| Lyon | 7 | 4-2-1 | 1.86 | 0.71 | 57% | 57% | 43% | 14% | 4.3 | 6.3 | 1.6 | 1.62 | 1.25 | 3-1-0 | 1-1-1 | WLWDW |
| Paris FC | 7 | 4-2-1 | 1.71 | 1.00 | 57% | 43% | 43% | 43% | 3.9 | 3.6 | 2.3 | 1.99 | 1.02 | 3-1-0 | 1-1-1 | WLWDW |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 7 | 4-2-1 | 2.00 | 1.29 | 86% | 86% | 14% | 0% | 5.7 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 2.73 | 1.25 | 1-0-1 | 3-2-0 | WWWWL |
| Stade Rennais | 7 | 4-1-2 | 2.14 | 2.00 | 86% | 71% | 14% | 14% | 5.9 | 6.3 | 2.4 | 2.04 | 2.38 | 3-1-0 | 1-0-2 | LWLWW |
| Lorient | 7 | 3-2-2 | 1.00 | 0.86 | 43% | 43% | 57% | 14% | 2.6 | 5.6 | 1.1 | 1.16 | 1.14 | 2-1-1 | 1-1-1 | WWLDW |
| Lens | 7 | 3-1-3 | 2.00 | 1.57 | 86% | 86% | 0% | 14% | 6.6 | 3.6 | 2.3 | 2.00 | 1.62 | 2-0-1 | 1-1-2 | WWLDL |
| AJ Auxerre | 7 | 3-0-4 | 1.57 | 2.43 | 86% | 86% | 14% | 0% | 5.6 | 7.6 | 1.6 | 1.57 | 2.06 | 2-0-1 | 1-0-3 | WLWWL |
| Brest | 7 | 2-3-2 | 1.86 | 1.43 | 71% | 86% | 0% | 14% | 4.9 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 2.00 | 1.35 | 1-1-1 | 1-2-1 | DWLLW |
| Marseille | 7 | 3-0-4 | 2.00 | 1.43 | 57% | 43% | 29% | 29% | 4.4 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 1.69 | 2.17 | 1-0-2 | 2-0-2 | WWLLL |
| Toulouse | 7 | 2-3-2 | 1.71 | 1.57 | 71% | 57% | 14% | 29% | 4.1 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 2.02 | 1.41 | 1-0-2 | 1-3-0 | WDWDL |
| Nice | 7 | 2-2-3 | 0.86 | 1.29 | 57% | 57% | 14% | 43% | 5.7 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 1.18 | 1.59 | 2-2-0 | 0-0-3 | LWWLD |
| Angers | 7 | 2-1-4 | 1.29 | 2.14 | 57% | 57% | 29% | 29% | 6.4 | 5.7 | 1.7 | 1.69 | 1.85 | 1-0-3 | 1-1-1 | LLWDL |
| Strasbourg | 7 | 2-1-4 | 1.71 | 2.14 | 86% | 86% | 0% | 14% | 2.1 | 5.4 | 1.7 | 1.16 | 1.96 | 1-1-1 | 1-0-3 | LLLDW |
| Le Mans | 7 | 1-3-3 | 1.43 | 2.14 | 86% | 86% | 0% | 14% | 2.7 | 5.9 | 2.6 | 1.54 | 2.17 | 1-2-1 | 0-1-2 | LLWDD |
| Troyes | 7 | 1-1-5 | 0.71 | 2.29 | 43% | 43% | 14% | 57% | 7.1 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1.24 | 1.77 | 0-1-3 | 1-0-2 | LLLLL |
| Le Havre AC | 7 | 0-2-5 | 0.71 | 1.57 | 43% | 57% | 14% | 43% | 5.7 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 1.38 | 1.70 | 0-1-3 | 0-1-2 | LLLDL |
What has happened, not a prediction: a run can end at any time. Every number shows how many matches it's based on. “Unusual” means the last 6 rounds (or, with no recent window, this season) differ clearly from the rest of the season or from last season: at least two standard errors, with 20+ matches on each side.