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NFL trends

Results that have already happened: each page lists what it counts, and every figure shows how many games it's based on.

Total points per game0.094 games0.3 vs 2025
Home wins0%94 games3 pts vs 2025
Decided by 7 or fewer0%94 games7 pts vs 2025
Winning margin0.094 games1.4 vs 2025

NFL · 2026

10 Sept 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 · 94 games · last season 272

What's counted

  • Regular-season games only: preseason and the play-offs are left out.
  • Numbers resting on fewer than 10 games aren't shown.

Unusual lately

  • Winning margin (scoring): 8.2 over the last 4 weeks (61 games) vs 9.8 across 2026
  • Over 51.5 total points (totals against fixed lines): 44% over the last 4 weeks (61 games) vs 31% in 2025
  • Decided by 7 or fewer (results): 66% over the last 4 weeks (61 games) vs 56% across 2026
  • Won by 17 or more (results): 13% over the last 4 weeks (61 games) vs 22% across 2026

Scoring

2026 so farLast 4 weeks2025
Total points per game46.394 games46.961 games46.0272 games
Home team points23.394 games23.861 games24.0272 games
Away team points23.094 games23.161 games22.0272 games
Winning marginunusually low9.894 games8.261 games11.2272 games

Totals against fixed lines

fixed reference lines for comparison, not this week's market lines

2026 so farLast 4 weeks2025
Over 37.5 total points71%94 games74%61 games71%272 games
Over 41.5 total points53%94 games56%61 games62%272 games
Over 44.5 total points47%94 games51%61 games53%272 games
Over 47.5 total points43%94 games46%61 games43%272 games
Over 51.5 total pointsunusually high38%94 games44%61 games31%272 games

Results

2026 so farLast 4 weeks2025
Home wins51%94 games51%61 games54%272 games
Ties1%94 games2%61 games0%272 games
Decided by 7 or fewerunusually high56%94 games66%61 games50%272 games
Won by 17 or moreunusually low22%94 games13%61 games28%272 games

Biggest wins

largest winning margins this season

DateScoreMargin
Atlanta Falcons v Carolina Panthers20 Sept3-3431
Jacksonville Jaguars v New England Patriots27 Sept35-629
New England Patriots v Las Vegas Raiders11 Oct45-1728
Arizona Cardinals v Detroit Lions11 Oct21-4524
Jacksonville Jaguars v Cleveland Browns13 Sept34-1024
Green Bay Packers v Chicago Bears11 Oct31-724

Highest-scoring games

this season

DateScoreTotal
Carolina Panthers v Chicago Bears13 Sept37-5996
Buffalo Bills v Detroit Lions18 Sept41-3172
Los Angeles Rams v Buffalo Bills13 Oct34-3771
New Orleans Saints v Atlanta Falcons6 Oct24-4569
Houston Texans v Buffalo Bills13 Sept31-3667
Arizona Cardinals v Detroit Lions11 Oct21-4566

Streaks right now

runs in the games counted above, 5 or more

  • 6Los Angeles ChargersLost in 6 straight
  • 6San Francisco 49ersWon in 6 straight
  • 5Kansas City ChiefsWon in 5 straight
  • 5Miami DolphinsLost in 5 straight
  • 5Minnesota VikingsWon in 5 straight

Team by team

2026 · the games counted above · tap a column to sort · per-game averages

HomeAwayLast 5
Kansas City Chiefs55-028.016.63-02-0WWWWW
Minnesota Vikings55-021.812.82-03-0WWWWW
San Francisco 49ers66-029.518.34-02-0WWWWW
Buffalo Bills65-132.828.52-13-0WWLWW
Chicago Bears75-225.720.43-12-1WWLWW
Baltimore Ravens64-226.022.01-13-1LWWWL
Cleveland Browns64-217.720.33-01-2WLWWW
Denver Broncos64-219.020.83-01-2WWLWW
Green Bay Packers64-221.220.82-12-1WWWLW
Jacksonville Jaguars64-225.717.33-11-1LWWWL
Pittsburgh Steelers64-222.821.33-01-2WWLWL
Carolina Panthers53-229.224.61-12-1WWLWL
Cincinnati Bengals53-225.621.81-12-1WLLWW
Detroit Lions53-232.829.62-01-2WLWLW
New England Patriots74-322.920.43-01-3LWWWL
Las Vegas Raiders63-327.027.01-22-1LLLWW
New York Giants63-1-222.723.33-10-1-1LDWWL
Seattle Seahawks63-324.720.32-11-2LLWLW
Arizona Cardinals62-421.029.70-22-2WLLLL
Atlanta Falcons62-423.725.50-32-1LLWWL
Dallas Cowboys62-425.226.51-21-2LLWLW
Houston Texans62-424.023.80-32-1WWLLL
Indianapolis Colts62-424.027.31-21-2LLWWL
Los Angeles Rams62-422.523.01-31-1LLWLW
New Orleans Saints62-425.329.70-32-1WLLLW
New York Jets62-418.720.31-11-3LWLLL
Philadelphia Eagles62-417.722.81-21-2LLLLW
Tampa Bay Buccaneers61-519.823.00-41-1LWLLL
Tennessee Titans61-514.021.50-31-2WLLLL
Washington Commanders61-1-422.028.71-1-10-3LDLWL
Los Angeles Chargers60-615.025.20-30-3LLLLL
Miami Dolphins50-514.026.40-20-3LLLLL

What has happened, not a prediction: a run can end at any time. Every number shows how many games it's based on. “Unusual” means the last 4 weeks (or, with no recent window, this season) differ clearly from the rest of the season or from last season: at least two standard errors, with 20+ games on each side.

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