Premier League trends
Results that have already happened: each page lists what it counts, and every figure shows how many matches it's based on.
Goals per match0.000.00 70 matches0.15 vs 2025–26
Over 2.5 goals0%0% 70 matches1 pt vs 2025–26
Both teams scored0%0% 70 matches3 pts vs 2025–26
Home wins0%0% 70 matches3 pts vs 2025–26
Premier League · 2026–27
21 Aug 2026 to 19 Oct 2026 · 70 matches · last season 380
What's counted
- League matches only: cups, play-offs and friendlies are left out.
- Favourites are judged on the closing average price across bookmakers.
- Numbers resting on fewer than 10 matches aren't shown.
Unusual lately
- A goal before half-time (half-time): 57% over the last 6 rounds (60 matches) vs 72% in 2025–26
- Over 8.5 corners (corners): 50% over the last 6 rounds (60 matches) vs 66% in 2025–26
- A red card shown (cards): 18% over the last 6 rounds (60 matches) vs 9% in 2025–26
- Shots per match (shots and xg): 27.5 over the last 6 rounds (60 matches) vs 25.0 in 2025–26
Goals
| 2026–27 so far | Last 6 rounds | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals per match | 2.9070 matches | 2.8860 matches | 2.75380 matches |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76%70 matches | 73%60 matches | 79%380 matches |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54%70 matches | 52%60 matches | 55%380 matches |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36%70 matches | 37%60 matches | 28%380 matches |
| Over 4.5 goals | 20%70 matches | 22%60 matches | 13%380 matches |
| Both teams scored | 53%70 matches | 55%60 matches | 56%380 matches |
| Goalless (0-0) | 7%70 matches | 8%60 matches | 7%380 matches |
| Home team goals | 1.6170 matches | 1.5260 matches | 1.53380 matches |
| Away team goals | 1.2970 matches | 1.3760 matches | 1.22380 matches |
Results
| 2026–27 so far | Last 6 rounds | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home wins | 40%70 matches | 35%60 matches | 43%380 matches |
| Draws | 29%70 matches | 32%60 matches | 27%380 matches |
| Away wins | 31%70 matches | 33%60 matches | 30%380 matches |
| Decided by one goal | 37%70 matches | 37%60 matches | 38%380 matches |
| Won by two or more | 34%70 matches | 32%60 matches | 35%380 matches |
| Winner kept a clean sheet | 56%50 matches | 54%41 matches | 51%276 matches |
Favourites
favourite = shorter of the home and away closing prices (average across bookmakers)
| 2026–27 so far | Last 6 rounds | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite won | 50%70 matches | 48%60 matches | 50%380 matches |
| Favourite drew | 29%70 matches | 32%60 matches | 27%380 matches |
| Favourite lost | 21%70 matches | 20%60 matches | 23%380 matches |
| Strong favourite (1.60 or shorter) won | 75%16 matches | 77%13 matches | 67%102 matches |
| Home favourite won | 50%44 matches | 45%38 matches | 53%237 matches |
| Away favourite won | 50%26 matches | 55%22 matches | 43%143 matches |
| Favourite won by two or more | 27%70 matches | 25%60 matches | 27%380 matches |
| Average favourite price | 1.9070 matches | 1.9060 matches | 1.91380 matches |
Half-time
| 2026–27 so far | Last 6 rounds | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Level at half-time | 46%70 matches | 50%60 matches | 38%380 matches |
| A goal before half-timeunusually low | 61%70 matches | 57%60 matches | 72%380 matches |
| Half-time leader went on to win | 71%38 matches | 70%30 matches | 73%236 matches |
| First-half goals per match | 1.1970 matches | 1.0860 matches | 1.19380 matches |
| Second-half goals per match | 1.7170 matches | 1.8060 matches | 1.56380 matches |
| More goals after half-time than before | 47%70 matches | 50%60 matches | 46%380 matches |
| A goal in both halves | 51%70 matches | 48%60 matches | 58%380 matches |
| Half-time leader failed to win | 29%38 matches | 30%30 matches | 27%236 matches |
Corners
| 2026–27 so far | Last 6 rounds | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners per match | 9.470 matches | 9.660 matches | 10.0380 matches |
| Over 8.5 cornersunusually low | 49%70 matches | 50%60 matches | 66%380 matches |
| Over 9.5 corners | 44%70 matches | 45%60 matches | 56%380 matches |
| Over 10.5 corners | 39%70 matches | 43%60 matches | 44%380 matches |
| Home team corners | 4.870 matches | 4.860 matches | 5.4380 matches |
| Away team corners | 4.670 matches | 4.860 matches | 4.6380 matches |
| Side with more corners won | 39%46 matches | 35%37 matches | 48%239 matches |
Cards
yellow and red cards as recorded per match
| 2026–27 so far | Last 6 rounds | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards per match | 4.270 matches | 4.360 matches | 3.9380 matches |
| Over 3.5 cards | 59%70 matches | 63%60 matches | 56%380 matches |
| Over 4.5 cards | 41%70 matches | 43%60 matches | 37%380 matches |
| Over 5.5 cards | 26%70 matches | 27%60 matches | 20%380 matches |
| Home team cards | 1.970 matches | 2.060 matches | 1.7380 matches |
| Away team cards | 2.270 matches | 2.360 matches | 2.1380 matches |
| A red card shownunusually high | 17%70 matches | 18%60 matches | 9%380 matches |
Shots and xG
| 2026–27 so far | Last 6 rounds | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots per matchunusually high | 27.570 matches | 27.560 matches | 25.0380 matches |
| Shots on target per match | 8.770 matches | 8.760 matches | 8.4380 matches |
| Side with more shots won | 63%49 matches | 63%40 matches | 59%261 matches |
| xG per match | 2.9770 matches | 2.9560 matches | – |
| Goals minus xG per match | -0.0770 matches | -0.0760 matches | – |
Most common scores
either side winning (2-1 includes 1-2) · of 70 matches
| Times | Share | Home won | Away won | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 12 | 17% | 4 | 8 |
| 2-0 | 8 | 11% | 3 | 5 |
| 2-1 | 8 | 11% | 6 | 2 |
| 2-2 draw | 8 | 11% | – | – |
| 1-1 draw | 7 | 10% | – | – |
| 0-0 draw | 5 | 7% | – | – |
| 3-0 | 5 | 7% | 4 | 1 |
| 3-2 | 5 | 7% | 1 | 4 |
Biggest wins
largest winning margins this season
| Date | Score | Margin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Crystal Palace | 18 Oct | 5-0 | 5 |
| Coventry City v Brighton & Hove Albion | 13 Sept | 0-5 | 5 |
| Chelsea v AFC Bournemouth | 10 Oct | 5-1 | 4 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston Villa | 23 Aug | 4-0 | 4 |
| Manchester United v Ipswich Town | 30 Aug | 5-2 | 3 |
| Coventry City v Newcastle United | 12 Oct | 4-1 | 3 |
Most goals in a match
this season
| Date | Score | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City v Sunderland | 20 Sept | 5-3 | 8 |
| Manchester United v Ipswich Town | 30 Aug | 5-2 | 7 |
| Chelsea v Brighton & Hove Albion | 30 Aug | 4-3 | 7 |
| Chelsea v AFC Bournemouth | 10 Oct | 5-1 | 6 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Crystal Palace | 18 Oct | 5-0 | 5 |
| Manchester City v Ipswich Town | 17 Oct | 3-2 | 5 |
Favourites: prices vs what happened
closing average price of the favourite · implied chance has the bookmaker margin removed · a band needs 10+ matches
| Matches | Prices implied | Actually won | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.40 or shorter | 7 | – | – | – |
| 1.41 to 1.70 | 19 | 60% | 63% | +3 pts |
| 1.71 to 2.10 | 20 | 49% | 45% | -4 pts |
| Longer than 2.10 | 24 | 41% | 38% | -3 pts |
Streaks right now
runs in the matches counted above, 4 or more
- 7BrentfordScored in 7 straight
- 7Brighton & Hove AlbionScored in 7 straight
- 7Ipswich TownConceded in 7 straight
- 7Manchester CityWon in 7 straight
- 7Manchester CityScored in 7 straight
- 7Manchester UnitedConceded in 7 straight
- 5Brighton & Hove AlbionUnbeaten in 5 straight
- 5Hull CityWithout a win in 5 straight
- 5Manchester UnitedWithout a win in 5 straight
- 5Newcastle UnitedConceded in 5 straight
- 5SunderlandWithout a win in 5 straight
- 5SunderlandConceded in 5 straight
- 4Aston VillaScored in 4 straight
- 4BrentfordOver 2.5 goals in 4 straight
- 4Brighton & Hove AlbionWon in 4 straight
- 4Brighton & Hove AlbionKept a clean sheet in 4 straight
- 4Hull CityConceded in 4 straight
- 4Manchester UnitedUnder 2.5 goals in 4 straight
- 4Nottingham ForestConceded in 4 straight
- 4SunderlandLost in 4 straight
Team by team
2026–27 · the matches counted above · tap a column to sort · per-match averages
| Home | Away | Last 5 | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 7 | 7-0-0 | 2.71 | 1.00 | 71% | 57% | 43% | 0% | 5.6 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 2.20 | 1.40 | 4-0-0 | 3-0-0 | WWWWW |
| Arsenal | 7 | 6-0-1 | 1.57 | 0.71 | 57% | 29% | 57% | 14% | 4.7 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 1.71 | 0.79 | 3-0-0 | 3-0-1 | WWLWW |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 7 | 5-1-1 | 3.29 | 0.71 | 71% | 29% | 71% | 0% | 5.7 | 5.0 | 2.3 | 2.13 | 1.45 | 3-1-0 | 2-0-1 | WWWWD |
| Chelsea | 7 | 4-1-2 | 2.43 | 1.86 | 86% | 71% | 14% | 14% | 5.9 | 5.4 | 1.9 | 1.33 | 1.52 | 2-1-0 | 2-0-2 | WWLDL |
| Liverpool | 7 | 3-3-1 | 1.29 | 1.14 | 57% | 43% | 43% | 29% | 4.9 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 1.56 | 1.18 | 0-2-1 | 3-1-0 | WLWDW |
| Brentford | 7 | 2-4-1 | 1.86 | 1.14 | 71% | 71% | 29% | 0% | 3.9 | 5.1 | 3.1 | 1.68 | 1.46 | 2-1-1 | 0-3-0 | LDWDD |
| Everton | 7 | 2-4-1 | 1.14 | 1.00 | 29% | 43% | 43% | 29% | 5.1 | 5.1 | 1.7 | 1.35 | 1.39 | 2-1-1 | 0-3-0 | LDWDD |
| Leeds United | 7 | 2-4-1 | 1.29 | 0.86 | 29% | 71% | 29% | 14% | 4.0 | 4.1 | 1.9 | 1.38 | 1.37 | 1-3-0 | 1-1-1 | DLDWD |
| Hull City | 7 | 2-3-2 | 1.14 | 1.00 | 43% | 43% | 43% | 29% | 3.7 | 6.6 | 3.0 | 0.97 | 1.49 | 1-2-0 | 1-1-2 | LDLDD |
| Ipswich Town | 7 | 3-0-4 | 1.57 | 2.14 | 71% | 71% | 0% | 29% | 3.3 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 1.50 | 2.01 | 2-0-1 | 1-0-3 | LWLWL |
| Aston Villa | 7 | 2-2-3 | 1.00 | 1.57 | 57% | 43% | 29% | 43% | 3.1 | 4.3 | 2.1 | 1.19 | 1.61 | 0-1-2 | 2-1-1 | WDWLD |
| Newcastle United | 7 | 2-2-3 | 1.43 | 2.00 | 71% | 71% | 14% | 14% | 4.6 | 5.3 | 2.7 | 1.16 | 1.70 | 1-2-1 | 1-0-2 | LLWLD |
| Crystal Palace | 7 | 2-1-4 | 1.29 | 2.43 | 71% | 57% | 14% | 43% | 3.1 | 5.7 | 1.4 | 1.35 | 2.11 | 1-0-2 | 1-1-2 | LWDLW |
| Manchester United | 7 | 1-4-2 | 1.43 | 1.43 | 29% | 71% | 0% | 29% | 6.1 | 3.6 | 1.7 | 1.63 | 1.40 | 1-1-1 | 0-3-1 | DDDLD |
| AFC Bournemouth | 7 | 1-3-3 | 1.29 | 1.86 | 57% | 71% | 14% | 14% | 4.7 | 3.9 | 3.0 | 1.76 | 1.18 | 1-2-1 | 0-1-2 | WLLDD |
| Coventry City | 7 | 2-0-5 | 0.86 | 2.00 | 57% | 29% | 14% | 57% | 3.7 | 4.7 | 1.3 | 1.02 | 1.62 | 1-0-2 | 1-0-3 | LWWLL |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 7 | 1-3-3 | 0.86 | 1.43 | 43% | 43% | 29% | 57% | 6.6 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 1.06 | 1.35 | 1-1-2 | 0-2-1 | WDLDD |
| Fulham | 7 | 1-2-4 | 1.00 | 1.43 | 43% | 57% | 29% | 29% | 6.1 | 4.3 | 2.1 | 1.56 | 1.41 | 1-1-2 | 0-1-2 | WLDDL |
| Nottingham Forest | 7 | 1-2-4 | 0.71 | 1.29 | 43% | 43% | 14% | 57% | 4.7 | 4.9 | 2.3 | 1.64 | 1.19 | 0-1-3 | 1-1-1 | LLLWD |
| Sunderland | 7 | 1-1-5 | 0.86 | 2.00 | 29% | 43% | 14% | 43% | 4.3 | 4.1 | 2.3 | 1.51 | 2.04 | 1-0-2 | 0-1-3 | LLLLD |
What has happened, not a prediction: a run can end at any time. Every number shows how many matches it's based on. “Unusual” means the last 6 rounds (or, with no recent window, this season) differ clearly from the rest of the season or from last season: at least two standard errors, with 20+ matches on each side.