Serie A trends
Results that have already happened: each page lists what it counts, and every figure shows how many matches it's based on.
Goals per match0.000.00 70 matches0.53 vs 2025–26
Over 2.5 goals0%0% 70 matches14 pts vs 2025–26
Both teams scored0%0% 70 matches12 pts vs 2025–26
Home wins0%0% 70 matches8 pts vs 2025–26
Serie A · 2026–27
22 Aug 2026 to 19 Oct 2026 · 70 matches · last season 380
What's counted
- League matches only: cups, play-offs and friendlies are left out.
- Favourites are judged on the closing average price across bookmakers.
- Numbers resting on fewer than 10 matches aren't shown.
Unusual lately
- Goals per match (goals): 3.05 over the last 6 rounds (60 matches) vs 2.43 in 2025–26
- Over 1.5 goals (goals): 87% over the last 6 rounds (60 matches) vs 70% in 2025–26
- Over 2.5 goals (goals): 63% over the last 6 rounds (60 matches) vs 46% in 2025–26
- Both teams scored (goals): 60% over the last 6 rounds (60 matches) vs 45% in 2025–26
- Goalless (0-0) (goals): 2% over the last 6 rounds (60 matches) vs 10% in 2025–26
- Home team goals (goals): 1.62 over the last 6 rounds (60 matches) vs 1.28 in 2025–26
- First-half goals per match (half-time): 1.45 over the last 6 rounds (60 matches) vs 1.04 in 2025–26
- Away team cards (cards): 1.6 over the last 6 rounds (60 matches) vs 2.1 in 2025–26
- Shots per match (shots and xg): 29.3 over the last 6 rounds (60 matches) vs 24.7 in 2025–26
- Shots on target per match (shots and xg): 10.0 over the last 6 rounds (60 matches) vs 8.1 in 2025–26
Goals
| 2026–27 so far | Last 6 rounds | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals per matchunusually high | 2.9670 matches | 3.0560 matches | 2.43380 matches |
| Over 1.5 goalsunusually high | 84%70 matches | 87%60 matches | 70%380 matches |
| Over 2.5 goalsunusually high | 60%70 matches | 63%60 matches | 46%380 matches |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30%70 matches | 32%60 matches | 22%380 matches |
| Over 4.5 goals | 16%70 matches | 17%60 matches | 10%380 matches |
| Both teams scoredunusually high | 57%70 matches | 60%60 matches | 45%380 matches |
| Goalless (0-0)unusually low | 1%70 matches | 2%60 matches | 10%380 matches |
| Home team goalsunusually high | 1.5670 matches | 1.6260 matches | 1.28380 matches |
| Away team goals | 1.4070 matches | 1.4360 matches | 1.15380 matches |
Results
| 2026–27 so far | Last 6 rounds | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home wins | 47%70 matches | 50%60 matches | 39%380 matches |
| Draws | 17%70 matches | 18%60 matches | 26%380 matches |
| Away wins | 36%70 matches | 32%60 matches | 35%380 matches |
| Decided by one goal | 43%70 matches | 42%60 matches | 42%380 matches |
| Won by two or more | 40%70 matches | 40%60 matches | 32%380 matches |
| Winner kept a clean sheet | 50%58 matches | 47%49 matches | 61%281 matches |
Favourites
favourite = shorter of the home and away closing prices (average across bookmakers)
| 2026–27 so far | Last 6 rounds | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite won | 60%70 matches | 58%60 matches | 54%380 matches |
| Favourite drew | 17%70 matches | 18%60 matches | 26%380 matches |
| Favourite lost | 23%70 matches | 23%60 matches | 20%380 matches |
| Strong favourite (1.60 or shorter) won | 89%18 matches | 87%15 matches | 68%121 matches |
| Home favourite won | 65%40 matches | 66%35 matches | 51%234 matches |
| Away favourite won | 53%30 matches | 48%25 matches | 58%146 matches |
| Favourite won by two or more | 33%70 matches | 33%60 matches | 27%380 matches |
| Average favourite price | 1.9270 matches | 1.9360 matches | 1.92380 matches |
Half-time
| 2026–27 so far | Last 6 rounds | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Level at half-time | 40%70 matches | 37%60 matches | 44%380 matches |
| A goal before half-time | 69%70 matches | 72%60 matches | 66%380 matches |
| Half-time leader went on to win | 79%42 matches | 79%38 matches | 78%213 matches |
| First-half goals per matchunusually high | 1.3370 matches | 1.4560 matches | 1.04380 matches |
| Second-half goals per match | 1.6370 matches | 1.6060 matches | 1.38380 matches |
| More goals after half-time than before | 47%70 matches | 42%60 matches | 46%380 matches |
| A goal in both halves | 57%70 matches | 60%60 matches | 52%380 matches |
| Half-time leader failed to win | 21%42 matches | 21%38 matches | 23%213 matches |
Corners
| 2026–27 so far | Last 6 rounds | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners per match | 9.470 matches | 9.660 matches | 8.8380 matches |
| Over 8.5 corners | 54%70 matches | 57%60 matches | 51%380 matches |
| Over 9.5 corners | 41%70 matches | 42%60 matches | 40%380 matches |
| Over 10.5 corners | 33%70 matches | 33%60 matches | 29%380 matches |
| Home team corners | 5.070 matches | 5.260 matches | 5.0380 matches |
| Away team corners | 4.570 matches | 4.460 matches | 3.9380 matches |
| Side with more corners won | 53%53 matches | 55%47 matches | 58%246 matches |
Cards
yellow and red cards as recorded per match
| 2026–27 so far | Last 6 rounds | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards per match | 3.470 matches | 3.460 matches | 3.9380 matches |
| Over 3.5 cards | 46%70 matches | 45%60 matches | 55%380 matches |
| Over 4.5 cards | 30%70 matches | 33%60 matches | 35%380 matches |
| Over 5.5 cards | 16%70 matches | 17%60 matches | 20%380 matches |
| Home team cards | 1.870 matches | 1.860 matches | 1.8380 matches |
| Away team cardsunusually low | 1.670 matches | 1.660 matches | 2.1380 matches |
| A red card shown | 7%70 matches | 8%60 matches | 14%380 matches |
Shots and xG
| 2026–27 so far | Last 6 rounds | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots per matchunusually high | 29.270 matches | 29.360 matches | 24.7380 matches |
| Shots on target per matchunusually high | 9.870 matches | 10.060 matches | 8.1380 matches |
| Side with more shots won | 58%57 matches | 56%48 matches | 65%268 matches |
| xG per match | 3.0570 matches | 3.0760 matches | – |
| Goals minus xG per match | -0.0970 matches | -0.0260 matches | – |
Most common scores
either side winning (2-1 includes 1-2) · of 70 matches
| Times | Share | Home won | Away won | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | 14 | 20% | 8 | 6 |
| 1-0 | 10 | 14% | 5 | 5 |
| 2-0 | 9 | 13% | 5 | 4 |
| 1-1 draw | 8 | 11% | – | – |
| 3-0 | 7 | 10% | 3 | 4 |
| 3-2 | 6 | 9% | 5 | 1 |
| 3-1 | 4 | 6% | 2 | 2 |
| 2-2 draw | 3 | 4% | – | – |
Biggest wins
largest winning margins this season
| Date | Score | Margin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monza v Cagliari | 19 Oct | 4-0 | 4 |
| Lecce v AS Roma | 31 Aug | 0-4 | 4 |
| AS Roma v Fiorentina | 24 Aug | 4-0 | 4 |
| Genoa v Como | 4 Sept | 1-4 | 3 |
| Internazionale v Monza | 22 Aug | 4-1 | 3 |
| Parma v Torino | 19 Oct | 0-3 | 3 |
Most goals in a match
this season
| Date | Score | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Internazionale v Udinese | 14 Sept | 5-3 | 8 |
| Frosinone v Sassuolo | 16 Oct | 4-2 | 6 |
| Venezia v Fiorentina | 11 Sept | 2-4 | 6 |
| AC Milan v Atalanta | 18 Oct | 3-2 | 5 |
| Sassuolo v Juventus | 13 Sept | 3-2 | 5 |
| Lecce v Monza | 13 Sept | 3-2 | 5 |
Favourites: prices vs what happened
closing average price of the favourite · implied chance has the bookmaker margin removed · a band needs 10+ matches
| Matches | Prices implied | Actually won | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.40 or shorter | 7 | – | – | – |
| 1.41 to 1.70 | 20 | 60% | 75% | +15 pts |
| 1.71 to 2.10 | 17 | 50% | 41% | -9 pts |
| Longer than 2.10 | 26 | 39% | 50% | +11 pts |
Streaks right now
runs in the matches counted above, 4 or more
- 7AC MilanUnbeaten in 7 straight
- 7AC MilanScored in 7 straight
- 7AS RomaUnbeaten in 7 straight
- 7BolognaConceded in 7 straight
- 7FiorentinaConceded in 7 straight
- 7GenoaConceded in 7 straight
- 7InternazionaleUnbeaten in 7 straight
- 7InternazionaleScored in 7 straight
- 7LazioUnbeaten in 7 straight
- 7LazioScored in 7 straight
- 7MonzaScored in 7 straight
- 7ParmaConceded in 7 straight
- 7SassuoloBoth teams scored in 7 straight
- 7UdineseConceded in 7 straight
- 5AtalantaConceded in 5 straight
- 5FiorentinaBoth teams scored in 5 straight
- 5InternazionaleOver 2.5 goals in 5 straight
- 5UdineseLost in 5 straight
- 4LecceOver 2.5 goals in 4 straight
- 4MonzaOver 2.5 goals in 4 straight
- 4ParmaOver 2.5 goals in 4 straight
Team by team
2026–27 · the matches counted above · tap a column to sort · per-match averages
| Home | Away | Last 5 | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internazionale | 7 | 6-1-0 | 3.00 | 1.29 | 86% | 71% | 29% | 0% | 5.7 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 2.84 | 1.17 | 4-0-0 | 2-1-0 | WWDWW |
| Lazio | 7 | 6-1-0 | 2.00 | 0.57 | 57% | 43% | 57% | 0% | 5.1 | 5.0 | 1.9 | 1.44 | 1.25 | 2-1-0 | 4-0-0 | WWWDW |
| AS Roma | 7 | 5-2-0 | 2.29 | 0.43 | 57% | 29% | 71% | 14% | 5.1 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 2.15 | 0.98 | 3-1-0 | 2-1-0 | WDDWW |
| AC Milan | 7 | 4-3-0 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 57% | 71% | 29% | 0% | 3.0 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 1.67 | 1.26 | 3-0-0 | 1-3-0 | WDWDD |
| Como | 7 | 4-2-1 | 1.71 | 1.00 | 57% | 71% | 14% | 29% | 7.3 | 4.6 | 1.3 | 1.80 | 1.55 | 1-1-0 | 3-1-1 | WDLWW |
| Cagliari | 7 | 4-1-2 | 0.86 | 1.00 | 29% | 29% | 43% | 29% | 4.0 | 6.3 | 1.3 | 1.15 | 1.79 | 1-1-1 | 3-0-1 | LDWWW |
| Frosinone | 7 | 4-1-2 | 1.86 | 1.29 | 57% | 43% | 29% | 29% | 5.4 | 6.9 | 1.7 | 1.51 | 2.18 | 3-0-1 | 1-1-1 | WLWDW |
| Juventus | 7 | 3-2-2 | 1.29 | 1.14 | 29% | 43% | 43% | 14% | 8.1 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 1.51 | 0.49 | 2-1-1 | 1-1-1 | LDWLD |
| Napoli | 7 | 3-1-3 | 1.43 | 1.00 | 43% | 43% | 43% | 14% | 6.4 | 4.3 | 0.9 | 1.80 | 1.28 | 2-0-1 | 1-1-2 | LWDWL |
| Torino | 7 | 3-1-3 | 1.43 | 1.29 | 71% | 71% | 14% | 14% | 3.3 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 1.27 | 1.51 | 1-0-2 | 2-1-1 | WWDLW |
| Atalanta | 7 | 3-0-4 | 1.43 | 1.57 | 71% | 71% | 14% | 14% | 3.4 | 5.0 | 1.1 | 1.07 | 2.12 | 3-0-1 | 0-0-3 | LWLLL |
| Lecce | 7 | 3-0-4 | 1.29 | 1.71 | 71% | 29% | 29% | 43% | 4.4 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 1.45 | 1.98 | 1-0-2 | 2-0-2 | WLLWL |
| Sassuolo | 7 | 2-2-3 | 1.71 | 2.00 | 86% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 4.3 | 6.3 | 1.3 | 1.70 | 1.41 | 2-1-0 | 0-1-3 | LDLWD |
| Monza | 7 | 2-1-4 | 1.86 | 2.14 | 86% | 86% | 14% | 0% | 4.3 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 1.76 | 1.36 | 2-0-1 | 0-1-3 | WLWLD |
| Bologna | 7 | 1-2-4 | 0.86 | 1.43 | 43% | 57% | 0% | 43% | 3.7 | 6.6 | 2.0 | 1.32 | 1.34 | 0-2-2 | 1-0-2 | LWDLD |
| Fiorentina | 7 | 1-1-5 | 1.14 | 2.43 | 86% | 71% | 0% | 29% | 5.3 | 3.9 | 2.0 | 1.60 | 1.35 | 0-1-3 | 1-0-2 | LLDWL |
| Genoa | 7 | 1-1-5 | 0.71 | 1.86 | 43% | 57% | 0% | 43% | 4.4 | 4.7 | 3.0 | 0.94 | 1.24 | 1-1-2 | 0-0-3 | LWLDL |
| Parma | 7 | 1-1-5 | 0.57 | 1.86 | 57% | 43% | 0% | 57% | 3.4 | 5.1 | 1.6 | 0.76 | 1.72 | 1-1-2 | 0-0-3 | LLWLD |
| Udinese | 7 | 1-1-5 | 1.29 | 2.29 | 71% | 71% | 0% | 29% | 3.9 | 5.7 | 1.9 | 1.15 | 2.16 | 0-1-3 | 1-0-2 | LLLLL |
| Venezia | 7 | 1-0-6 | 0.86 | 2.29 | 43% | 43% | 14% | 43% | 3.7 | 5.1 | 2.9 | 1.57 | 2.31 | 1-0-3 | 0-0-3 | WLLLL |
What has happened, not a prediction: a run can end at any time. Every number shows how many matches it's based on. “Unusual” means the last 6 rounds (or, with no recent window, this season) differ clearly from the rest of the season or from last season: at least two standard errors, with 20+ matches on each side.