Primeira Liga trends
Results that have already happened: each page lists what it counts, and every figure shows how many matches it's based on.
Goals per match0.000.00 72 matches0.07 vs 2025–26
Over 2.5 goals0%0% 72 matches2 pts vs 2025–26
Both teams scored0%0% 72 matches3 pts vs 2025–26
Home wins0%0% 72 matches2 pts vs 2025–26
Primeira Liga · 2026–27
7 Aug 2026 to 19 Oct 2026 · 72 matches · last season 306
What's counted
- League matches only: cups, play-offs and friendlies are left out.
- Favourites are judged on the closing average price across bookmakers.
- Numbers resting on fewer than 10 matches aren't shown.
Unusual lately
- Away team corners (corners): 3.5 over the last 6 rounds (54 matches) vs 4.6 in 2025–26
- Side with more corners won (corners): 42% over the last 6 rounds (38 matches) vs 64% in 2025–26
- Cards per match (cards): 4.4 over the last 6 rounds (54 matches) vs 5.2 in 2025–26
- Home team cards (cards): 2.0 over the last 6 rounds (54 matches) vs 2.6 in 2025–26
Goals
| 2026–27 so far | Last 6 rounds | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals per match | 2.7572 matches | 2.6554 matches | 2.68306 matches |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75%72 matches | 74%54 matches | 75%306 matches |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56%72 matches | 56%54 matches | 54%306 matches |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36%72 matches | 32%54 matches | 30%306 matches |
| Over 4.5 goals | 10%72 matches | 9%54 matches | 11%306 matches |
| Both teams scored | 51%72 matches | 52%54 matches | 48%306 matches |
| Goalless (0-0) | 6%72 matches | 7%54 matches | 7%306 matches |
| Home team goals | 1.3172 matches | 1.2454 matches | 1.50306 matches |
| Away team goals | 1.4472 matches | 1.4154 matches | 1.19306 matches |
Results
| 2026–27 so far | Last 6 rounds | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home wins | 39%72 matches | 41%54 matches | 41%306 matches |
| Draws | 25%72 matches | 20%54 matches | 27%306 matches |
| Away wins | 36%72 matches | 39%54 matches | 32%306 matches |
| Decided by one goal | 40%72 matches | 43%54 matches | 36%306 matches |
| Won by two or more | 35%72 matches | 37%54 matches | 37%306 matches |
| Winner kept a clean sheet | 57%54 matches | 51%43 matches | 62%223 matches |
Favourites
favourite = shorter of the home and away closing prices (average across bookmakers)
| 2026–27 so far | Last 6 rounds | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite won | 50%72 matches | 54%54 matches | 58%306 matches |
| Favourite drew | 25%72 matches | 20%54 matches | 27%306 matches |
| Favourite lost | 25%72 matches | 26%54 matches | 15%306 matches |
| Strong favourite (1.60 or shorter) won | 70%27 matches | 75%20 matches | 82%117 matches |
| Home favourite won | 49%45 matches | 52%33 matches | 58%187 matches |
| Away favourite won | 52%27 matches | 57%21 matches | 57%119 matches |
| Favourite won by two or more | 26%72 matches | 28%54 matches | 32%306 matches |
| Average favourite price | 1.8172 matches | 1.8354 matches | 1.81306 matches |
Half-time
| 2026–27 so far | Last 6 rounds | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Level at half-time | 46%72 matches | 44%54 matches | 43%306 matches |
| A goal before half-time | 72%72 matches | 74%54 matches | 69%306 matches |
| Half-time leader went on to win | 77%39 matches | 80%30 matches | 73%174 matches |
| First-half goals per match | 1.2272 matches | 1.1954 matches | 1.20306 matches |
| Second-half goals per match | 1.5372 matches | 1.4654 matches | 1.48306 matches |
| More goals after half-time than before | 47%72 matches | 48%54 matches | 43%306 matches |
| A goal in both halves | 54%72 matches | 56%54 matches | 55%306 matches |
| Half-time leader failed to win | 23%39 matches | 20%30 matches | 27%174 matches |
Corners
| 2026–27 so far | Last 6 rounds | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners per match | 8.872 matches | 8.954 matches | 9.4306 matches |
| Over 8.5 corners | 47%72 matches | 50%54 matches | 59%306 matches |
| Over 9.5 corners | 39%72 matches | 43%54 matches | 47%306 matches |
| Over 10.5 corners | 26%72 matches | 26%54 matches | 36%306 matches |
| Home team corners | 5.372 matches | 5.454 matches | 4.8306 matches |
| Away team cornersunusually low | 3.572 matches | 3.554 matches | 4.6306 matches |
| Side with more corners wonunusually low | 44%48 matches | 42%38 matches | 64%208 matches |
Cards
yellow and red cards as recorded per match
| 2026–27 so far | Last 6 rounds | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards per matchunusually low | 4.672 matches | 4.454 matches | 5.2306 matches |
| Over 3.5 cards | 68%72 matches | 63%54 matches | 72%306 matches |
| Over 4.5 cards | 49%72 matches | 48%54 matches | 58%306 matches |
| Over 5.5 cards | 29%72 matches | 24%54 matches | 38%306 matches |
| Home team cardsunusually low | 2.072 matches | 2.054 matches | 2.6306 matches |
| Away team cards | 2.572 matches | 2.454 matches | 2.6306 matches |
| A red card shown | 21%72 matches | 19%54 matches | 20%306 matches |
Shots and xG
| 2026–27 so far | Last 6 rounds | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots per match | 24.672 matches | 24.854 matches | 24.2306 matches |
| Shots on target per match | 8.272 matches | 8.154 matches | 8.2306 matches |
| Side with more shots won | 65%51 matches | 68%40 matches | 68%208 matches |
| xG per match | 2.6072 matches | 2.5554 matches | – |
| Goals minus xG per match | 0.1572 matches | 0.1054 matches | – |
Most common scores
either side winning (2-1 includes 1-2) · of 72 matches
| Times | Share | Home won | Away won | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 14 | 19% | 8 | 6 |
| 2-1 | 12 | 17% | 6 | 6 |
| 2-0 | 9 | 13% | 6 | 3 |
| 2-2 draw | 8 | 11% | – | – |
| 3-1 | 6 | 8% | 4 | 2 |
| 1-1 draw | 5 | 7% | – | – |
| 4-0 | 5 | 7% | 2 | 3 |
| 0-0 draw | 4 | 6% | – | – |
Biggest wins
largest winning margins this season
| Date | Score | Margin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia v Benfica | 17 Aug | 0-7 | 7 |
| C.D. Nacional v FC Famalicao | 19 Sept | 0-4 | 4 |
| Moreirense v Benfica | 9 Sept | 0-4 | 4 |
| Santa Clara v Rio Ave | 6 Sept | 4-0 | 4 |
| Rio Ave v Sporting CP | 28 Aug | 0-4 | 4 |
| Arouca v Moreirense | 16 Aug | 4-0 | 4 |
Most goals in a match
this season
| Date | Score | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia v Benfica | 17 Aug | 0-7 | 7 |
| Rio Ave v Estrela | 14 Sept | 3-3 | 6 |
| FC Famalicao v Alverca | 12 Oct | 1-4 | 5 |
| Rio Ave v C.D. Nacional | 11 Oct | 3-2 | 5 |
| Casa Pia v FC Porto | 12 Sept | 1-4 | 5 |
| C.D. Nacional v Estrela | 30 Aug | 2-3 | 5 |
Favourites: prices vs what happened
closing average price of the favourite · implied chance has the bookmaker margin removed · a band needs 10+ matches
| Matches | Prices implied | Actually won | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.40 or shorter | 21 | 77% | 86% | +9 pts |
| 1.41 to 1.70 | 7 | – | – | – |
| 1.71 to 2.10 | 24 | 49% | 54% | +6 pts |
| Longer than 2.10 | 20 | 39% | 20% | -19 pts |
Streaks right now
runs in the matches counted above, 4 or more
- 8BenficaScored in 8 straight
- 8EstorilWithout a win in 8 straight
- 8EstrelaConceded in 8 straight
- 8FC PortoWon in 8 straight
- 8FC PortoScored in 8 straight
- 8Santa ClaraUnbeaten in 8 straight
- 8Sporting CPUnbeaten in 8 straight
- 8Sporting CPScored in 8 straight
- 7AlvercaScored in 7 straight
- 7MaritimoConceded in 7 straight
- 6C.D. NacionalLost in 6 straight
- 6C.D. NacionalConceded in 6 straight
- 6MaritimoWithout a win in 6 straight
- 5FC PortoOver 2.5 goals in 5 straight
- 5MoreirenseConceded in 5 straight
- 5Rio AveConceded in 5 straight
- 5Vitória de GuimaraesWithout a win in 5 straight
- 4Académico de ViseuWon in 4 straight
- 4Académico de ViseuScored in 4 straight
- 4FC FamalicaoScored in 4 straight
- 4FC PortoBoth teams scored in 4 straight
- 4Gil VicenteScored in 4 straight
Team by team
2026–27 · the matches counted above · tap a column to sort · per-match averages
| Home | Away | Last 5 | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Porto | 8 | 8-0-0 | 2.50 | 0.50 | 63% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 6.8 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 2.25 | 0.88 | 4-0-0 | 4-0-0 | WWWWW |
| Benfica | 8 | 6-1-1 | 3.00 | 0.88 | 88% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 7.8 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 2.38 | 0.62 | 3-1-0 | 3-0-1 | WLWWW |
| Santa Clara | 8 | 5-3-0 | 1.50 | 0.50 | 38% | 38% | 63% | 13% | 4.1 | 5.3 | 3.0 | 1.26 | 0.67 | 2-2-0 | 3-1-0 | WDWWD |
| Sporting CP | 8 | 5-3-0 | 2.50 | 1.13 | 75% | 75% | 25% | 0% | 4.6 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 1.88 | 0.88 | 3-1-0 | 2-2-0 | WDDWW |
| Académico de Viseu | 8 | 4-2-2 | 1.38 | 1.25 | 63% | 50% | 25% | 25% | 2.6 | 5.3 | 2.9 | 1.24 | 1.66 | 2-0-2 | 2-2-0 | WWWWL |
| Arouca | 8 | 4-2-2 | 1.38 | 0.88 | 50% | 38% | 50% | 25% | 3.1 | 5.4 | 3.1 | 1.18 | 1.39 | 3-0-1 | 1-2-1 | WDLDW |
| Gil Vicente | 8 | 4-2-2 | 1.00 | 0.75 | 25% | 38% | 50% | 25% | 3.3 | 4.8 | 2.1 | 1.34 | 0.98 | 2-1-1 | 2-1-1 | WWDLL |
| Alverca | 8 | 3-2-3 | 1.63 | 1.50 | 63% | 75% | 13% | 13% | 4.8 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 1.58 | 1.57 | 1-2-1 | 2-0-2 | WWWLD |
| Braga | 8 | 3-2-3 | 1.13 | 1.25 | 63% | 63% | 38% | 13% | 4.1 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 1.29 | 0.79 | 2-0-2 | 1-2-1 | LLDWL |
| Estrela | 8 | 2-4-2 | 1.75 | 1.88 | 75% | 75% | 0% | 25% | 4.3 | 4.4 | 2.4 | 1.26 | 1.52 | 1-2-1 | 1-2-1 | LLDWD |
| Maritimo | 8 | 2-2-4 | 1.13 | 1.75 | 75% | 75% | 13% | 13% | 2.9 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 0.85 | 1.42 | 1-1-2 | 1-1-2 | LDLLL |
| Moreirense | 8 | 2-2-4 | 1.00 | 1.88 | 63% | 50% | 13% | 38% | 2.4 | 4.9 | 2.8 | 0.72 | 1.70 | 1-1-2 | 1-1-2 | LDWLL |
| FC Famalicao | 8 | 1-4-3 | 1.25 | 1.38 | 50% | 63% | 25% | 25% | 5.8 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 0.91 | 1.48 | 0-2-2 | 1-2-1 | LWDDD |
| Rio Ave | 8 | 2-1-5 | 1.00 | 2.13 | 50% | 25% | 13% | 63% | 3.8 | 6.1 | 1.8 | 0.70 | 1.81 | 1-1-2 | 1-0-3 | WLDLL |
| Vitória de Guimaraes | 8 | 1-2-5 | 0.63 | 1.25 | 25% | 38% | 25% | 50% | 5.8 | 3.9 | 2.8 | 1.60 | 1.02 | 1-2-1 | 0-0-4 | LDLDL |
| C.D. Nacional | 8 | 1-1-6 | 1.13 | 2.25 | 63% | 50% | 13% | 38% | 4.4 | 4.8 | 1.3 | 1.16 | 1.85 | 1-0-3 | 0-1-3 | LLLLL |
| Casa Pia | 8 | 1-1-6 | 0.38 | 2.13 | 38% | 25% | 13% | 75% | 4.0 | 6.3 | 2.5 | 0.84 | 1.62 | 0-0-4 | 1-1-2 | LWLDL |
| Estoril | 8 | 0-2-6 | 0.50 | 1.50 | 38% | 50% | 13% | 50% | 4.9 | 4.6 | 2.6 | 0.94 | 1.51 | 0-2-2 | 0-0-4 | LLLDL |
What has happened, not a prediction: a run can end at any time. Every number shows how many matches it's based on. “Unusual” means the last 6 rounds (or, with no recent window, this season) differ clearly from the rest of the season or from last season: at least two standard errors, with 20+ matches on each side.