Bundesliga trends
Results that have already happened: each page lists what it counts, and every figure shows how many matches it's based on.
Goals per match0.000.00 54 matches0.45 vs 2025–26
Over 2.5 goals0%0% 54 matches10 pts vs 2025–26
Both teams scored0%0% 54 matches2 pts vs 2025–26
Home wins0%0% 54 matches8 pts vs 2025–26
Bundesliga · 2026–27
28 Aug 2026 to 18 Oct 2026 · 54 matches · last season 306
What's counted
- League matches only: cups, play-offs and friendlies are left out.
- Favourites are judged on the closing average price across bookmakers.
- Numbers resting on fewer than 10 matches aren't shown.
Unusual lately
- Over 4.5 goals (goals): 37% in 2026–27 (54 matches) vs 21% in 2025–26 (306)
- Home team goals (goals): 2.28 in 2026–27 (54 matches) vs 1.78 in 2025–26 (306)
- Second-half goals per match (half-time): 2.20 in 2026–27 (54 matches) vs 1.79 in 2025–26 (306)
- Corners per match (corners): 10.7 in 2026–27 (54 matches) vs 9.8 in 2025–26 (306)
- Over 8.5 corners (corners): 76% in 2026–27 (54 matches) vs 61% in 2025–26 (306)
- Over 4.5 cards (cards): 20% in 2026–27 (54 matches) vs 36% in 2025–26 (306)
- Shots per match (shots and xg): 31.2 in 2026–27 (54 matches) vs 26.5 in 2025–26 (306)
- Shots on target per match (shots and xg): 11.0 in 2026–27 (54 matches) vs 9.5 in 2025–26 (306)
Goals
| 2026–27 so far | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals per match | 3.6954 matches | 3.24306 matches |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82%54 matches | 84%306 matches |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74%54 matches | 64%306 matches |
| Over 3.5 goals | 56%54 matches | 43%306 matches |
| Over 4.5 goalsunusually high | 37%54 matches | 21%306 matches |
| Both teams scored | 59%54 matches | 62%306 matches |
| Goalless (0-0) | 7%54 matches | 4%306 matches |
| Home team goalsunusually high | 2.2854 matches | 1.78306 matches |
| Away team goals | 1.4154 matches | 1.46306 matches |
Results
| 2026–27 so far | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|
| Home wins | 52%54 matches | 44%306 matches |
| Draws | 20%54 matches | 25%306 matches |
| Away wins | 28%54 matches | 32%306 matches |
| Decided by one goal | 41%54 matches | 35%306 matches |
| Won by two or more | 39%54 matches | 41%306 matches |
| Winner kept a clean sheet | 42%43 matches | 46%231 matches |
Favourites
favourite = shorter of the home and away closing prices (average across bookmakers)
| 2026–27 so far | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|
| Favourite won | 56%54 matches | 57%306 matches |
| Favourite drew | 20%54 matches | 25%306 matches |
| Favourite lost | 24%54 matches | 19%306 matches |
| Strong favourite (1.60 or shorter) won | 63%19 matches | 77%78 matches |
| Home favourite won | 63%35 matches | 56%211 matches |
| Away favourite won | 42%19 matches | 58%95 matches |
| Favourite won by two or more | 30%54 matches | 33%306 matches |
| Average favourite price | 1.8054 matches | 1.92306 matches |
Half-time
| 2026–27 so far | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|
| Level at half-time | 26%54 matches | 37%306 matches |
| A goal before half-time | 83%54 matches | 77%306 matches |
| Half-time leader went on to win | 73%40 matches | 77%194 matches |
| First-half goals per match | 1.4854 matches | 1.44306 matches |
| Second-half goals per matchunusually high | 2.2054 matches | 1.79306 matches |
| More goals after half-time than before | 59%54 matches | 46%306 matches |
| A goal in both halves | 78%54 matches | 66%306 matches |
| Half-time leader failed to win | 28%40 matches | 23%194 matches |
Corners
| 2026–27 so far | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|
| Corners per matchunusually high | 10.754 matches | 9.8306 matches |
| Over 8.5 cornersunusually high | 76%54 matches | 61%306 matches |
| Over 9.5 corners | 61%54 matches | 52%306 matches |
| Over 10.5 corners | 50%54 matches | 39%306 matches |
| Home team corners | 6.054 matches | 5.5306 matches |
| Away team corners | 4.754 matches | 4.3306 matches |
| Side with more corners won | 58%40 matches | 54%197 matches |
Cards
yellow and red cards as recorded per match
| 2026–27 so far | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|
| Cards per match | 3.554 matches | 4.0306 matches |
| Over 3.5 cards | 50%54 matches | 54%306 matches |
| Over 4.5 cardsunusually low | 20%54 matches | 36%306 matches |
| Over 5.5 cards | 15%54 matches | 21%306 matches |
| Home team cards | 1.754 matches | 1.9306 matches |
| Away team cards | 1.854 matches | 2.0306 matches |
| A red card shown | 9%54 matches | 16%306 matches |
Shots and xG
| 2026–27 so far | 2025–26 | |
|---|---|---|
| Shots per matchunusually high | 31.254 matches | 26.5306 matches |
| Shots on target per matchunusually high | 11.054 matches | 9.5306 matches |
| Side with more shots won | 65%43 matches | 65%224 matches |
| xG per match | 3.5654 matches | – |
| Goals minus xG per match | 0.1254 matches | – |
Most common scores
either side winning (2-1 includes 1-2) · of 54 matches
| Times | Share | Home won | Away won | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | 7 | 13% | 5 | 2 |
| 1-0 | 6 | 11% | 3 | 3 |
| 2-2 draw | 5 | 9% | – | – |
| 3-2 | 5 | 9% | 3 | 2 |
| 0-0 draw | 4 | 7% | – | – |
| 3-1 | 4 | 7% | 2 | 2 |
| 4-3 | 4 | 7% | 1 | 3 |
| 2-0 | 3 | 6% | 2 | 1 |
Biggest wins
largest winning margins this season
| Date | Score | Margin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich v 1. FC Union Berlin | 18 Sept | 7-0 | 7 |
| RB Leipzig v Eintracht Frankfurt | 10 Oct | 6-0 | 6 |
| Bayern Munich v RB Leipzig | 17 Oct | 6-1 | 5 |
| RB Leipzig v Hamburg SV | 13 Sept | 5-0 | 5 |
| SC Freiburg v Borussia Mönchengladbach | 12 Sept | 5-0 | 5 |
| Hamburg SV v Mainz | 6 Sept | 0-5 | 5 |
Most goals in a match
this season
| Date | Score | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich v RB Leipzig | 17 Oct | 6-1 | 7 |
| SV Elversberg v FC Augsburg | 17 Oct | 4-3 | 7 |
| Mainz v Bayer Leverkusen | 10 Oct | 3-4 | 7 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach v Mainz | 19 Sept | 3-4 | 7 |
| Bayern Munich v 1. FC Union Berlin | 18 Sept | 7-0 | 7 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach v SV Elversberg | 5 Sept | 3-4 | 7 |
Favourites: prices vs what happened
closing average price of the favourite · implied chance has the bookmaker margin removed · a band needs 10+ matches
| Matches | Prices implied | Actually won | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.40 or shorter | 12 | 76% | 67% | -9 pts |
| 1.41 to 1.70 | 12 | 60% | 58% | -1 pts |
| 1.71 to 2.10 | 13 | 51% | 38% | -13 pts |
| Longer than 2.10 | 17 | 41% | 59% | +18 pts |
Streaks right now
runs in the matches counted above, 4 or more
- 6Bayer LeverkusenScored in 6 straight
- 6Bayern MunichUnbeaten in 6 straight
- 6Borussia DortmundUnbeaten in 6 straight
- 6Borussia MönchengladbachLost in 6 straight
- 6Borussia MönchengladbachConceded in 6 straight
- 6Borussia MönchengladbachOver 2.5 goals in 6 straight
- 6FC AugsburgScored in 6 straight
- 6FC AugsburgOver 2.5 goals in 6 straight
- 6FC CologneConceded in 6 straight
- 6SC FreiburgScored in 6 straight
- 6TSG HoffenheimBoth teams scored in 6 straight
- 6TSG HoffenheimOver 2.5 goals in 6 straight
- 6Werder BremenBoth teams scored in 6 straight
- 5Bayer LeverkusenUnbeaten in 5 straight
- 5FC AugsburgBoth teams scored in 5 straight
- 5MainzScored in 5 straight
- 5SC Paderborn 07Conceded in 5 straight
- 5Werder BremenUnbeaten in 5 straight
- 4Bayern MunichScored in 4 straight
- 4Bayern MunichOver 2.5 goals in 4 straight
- 4FC AugsburgWithout a win in 4 straight
- 4SC FreiburgOver 2.5 goals in 4 straight
Team by team
2026–27 · the matches counted above · tap a column to sort · per-match averages
| Home | Away | Last 5 | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 6 | 4-2-0 | 3.67 | 0.83 | 83% | 67% | 33% | 17% | 9.7 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 3.49 | 0.91 | 3-0-0 | 1-2-0 | WDWWD |
| Borussia Dortmund | 6 | 4-2-0 | 1.83 | 0.67 | 50% | 33% | 67% | 17% | 4.8 | 4.7 | 2.7 | 1.68 | 0.97 | 2-1-0 | 2-1-0 | DDWWW |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | 4-1-1 | 2.67 | 1.50 | 83% | 67% | 33% | 0% | 7.3 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 2.21 | 1.31 | 3-0-0 | 1-1-1 | WWWDW |
| SC Freiburg | 6 | 4-1-1 | 2.50 | 1.00 | 83% | 67% | 33% | 0% | 5.2 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 1.87 | 0.93 | 3-0-0 | 1-1-1 | LWDWW |
| Mainz | 6 | 3-1-2 | 2.33 | 1.67 | 67% | 50% | 50% | 17% | 4.8 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 2.29 | 1.41 | 0-1-2 | 3-0-0 | WLWLW |
| SV Elversberg | 6 | 3-1-2 | 2.00 | 1.83 | 67% | 67% | 17% | 33% | 3.7 | 8.0 | 2.2 | 1.59 | 2.19 | 2-0-1 | 1-1-1 | WLDLW |
| Hamburg SV | 6 | 3-0-3 | 1.00 | 2.50 | 67% | 33% | 17% | 50% | 3.8 | 6.0 | 1.3 | 1.08 | 1.87 | 2-0-1 | 1-0-2 | WWWLL |
| RB Leipzig | 6 | 3-0-3 | 2.67 | 1.83 | 83% | 33% | 50% | 17% | 5.5 | 6.8 | 1.0 | 2.29 | 1.71 | 3-0-0 | 0-0-3 | LWLWL |
| Werder Bremen | 6 | 2-3-1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 83% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 3.7 | 5.8 | 1.2 | 1.61 | 1.63 | 2-1-0 | 0-2-1 | DDWDW |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 2-2-2 | 1.67 | 2.67 | 83% | 67% | 17% | 17% | 5.3 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 1.86 | 2.17 | 1-1-1 | 1-1-1 | WLDWL |
| FC Augsburg | 6 | 2-2-2 | 2.67 | 2.00 | 100% | 83% | 17% | 0% | 6.0 | 6.8 | 1.8 | 2.19 | 2.99 | 1-2-0 | 1-0-2 | LDLDW |
| FC Cologne | 6 | 2-1-3 | 1.33 | 1.83 | 67% | 83% | 0% | 17% | 6.0 | 6.3 | 1.8 | 1.67 | 1.82 | 2-1-0 | 0-0-3 | LWLDL |
| TSG Hoffenheim | 6 | 2-0-4 | 1.83 | 2.33 | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 6.7 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 1.77 | 1.43 | 1-0-2 | 1-0-2 | WLLWL |
| VfB Stuttgart | 6 | 2-0-4 | 1.33 | 1.67 | 50% | 50% | 17% | 33% | 6.7 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.01 | 2.41 | 1-0-1 | 1-0-3 | LWLLW |
| 1. FC Union Berlin | 6 | 1-2-3 | 0.83 | 2.83 | 67% | 33% | 33% | 50% | 4.0 | 5.8 | 2.5 | 1.08 | 2.03 | 1-2-1 | 0-0-2 | DWLLL |
| SC Paderborn 07 | 6 | 1-2-3 | 0.83 | 1.50 | 50% | 33% | 17% | 67% | 4.3 | 6.2 | 1.3 | 0.96 | 1.90 | 1-0-2 | 0-2-1 | DLWLL |
| Schalke 04 | 6 | 1-2-3 | 0.67 | 1.17 | 50% | 33% | 33% | 67% | 3.0 | 6.3 | 1.0 | 1.00 | 1.92 | 0-2-1 | 1-0-2 | LLDWD |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 6 | 0-0-6 | 1.33 | 3.33 | 100% | 67% | 0% | 33% | 6.0 | 5.5 | 3.3 | 1.42 | 2.47 | 0-0-3 | 0-0-3 | LLLLL |
What has happened, not a prediction: a run can end at any time. Every number shows how many matches it's based on. “Unusual” means the last 6 rounds (or, with no recent window, this season) differ clearly from the rest of the season or from last season: at least two standard errors, with 20+ matches on each side.